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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
54.04% ( 1.13) | 21.99% ( 0.09) | 23.96% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( -1.73) | 38.42% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( -1.86) | 60.71% ( 1.86) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0.24) | 14.26% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.96% ( -0.46) | 42.04% ( 0.46) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -1.89) | 29.17% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( -2.39) | 65.11% ( 2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.59)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.04% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.25% Total : 23.96% |
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