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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
SJ

Colorado
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Navarro (33'), Fernandez (42')
Mihailovic (15'), Navarro (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pellegrino (44'), Lopez (45+6'), Espinoza (66')
Costa (68'), Wilson (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes have certainly started to show signs of improvement after a dismal start to the season, but Colorado Rapids have been the stronger of the two sides thus far and had no trouble in cruising past the Quakes last time out. We back Chris Armas's side to again prevail on Sunday, albeit in a tougher test with the visitors growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.32% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)47.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.81% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.64%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.54% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 51.57%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.32%
    Draw 24.1%
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Earthquakes
Monday, April 22 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 4-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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