SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
46.32% ( 0.91) | 24.99% ( -0.2) | 28.69% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.51) | 48.12% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( 0.47) | 70.28% ( -0.46) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( 0.61) | 20.82% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% ( 0.95) | 53.49% ( -0.94) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.24) | 30.68% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( -0.29) | 66.94% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.69% |
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