SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Star | Draw | Caen |
39.73% ( -0.12) | 25.82% ( 0.04) | 34.45% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.16) | 49.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.15) | 71.62% ( 0.14) |
| Red Star Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.14) | 24.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.19) | 59.1% ( 0.19) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.04) | 63.11% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.45% |
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