Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
