Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Lens |
35.57% ( 0.98) | 26.36% ( -0.1) | 38.07% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% ( 0.54) | 51.76% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% ( 0.46) | 73.53% ( -0.46) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( 0.86) | 27.95% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( 1.08) | 63.57% ( -1.08) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( -0.24) | 26.49% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -0.32) | 61.68% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.07% |
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