Lens will be riding a wave of self-belief after their unlikely fightback last weekend and have more to play for than their hosts. Therefore, we are backing them to edge a closely-fought encounter and claim all three points to keep their faint European hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reims had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Reims	Draw	Lens
33.09% ( 0)	26.94% ( 0)	39.97% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.53% (

-0.01)

54.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

-0.01)

75.83% (

0.01)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-0)

30.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

-0)

67.13% (

0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-0.01)

26.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

-0.01)

61.95% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Reims 33.09%

Lens 39.97%

Draw 26.94%

Reims	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.09%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.97%