SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
37.61% ( -0.17) | 24.37% ( 0.06) | 38.02% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( -0.31) | 42.67% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.31) | 65.07% ( 0.3) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0.22) | 22.59% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( -0.33) | 56.2% ( 0.33) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.08) | 22.38% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.13) | 55.89% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.02% |
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