SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
55.87% ( -0.55) | 22.69% ( 0.17) | 21.44% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.28) | 44.54% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.27) | 66.91% ( 0.27) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.28) | 15.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.08% ( -0.52) | 44.92% ( 0.52) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.21) | 34.79% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.22) | 71.52% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.44% |
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