SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
45.44% ( -0.31) | 24.56% ( 0.19) | 29.99% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.46% ( -0.81) | 45.54% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( -0.78) | 67.86% ( 0.77) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.46) | 20.14% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( -0.75) | 52.41% ( 0.74) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( -0.33) | 28.45% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( -0.41) | 64.21% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.99% |
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