SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
62.1% ( 1.79) | 20.29% ( -0.58) | 17.61% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.66) | 39.35% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.68) | 61.69% ( -0.69) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.71) | 12.16% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.21% ( 1.48) | 37.79% ( -1.48) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.93) | 35.74% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( -0.97) | 72.51% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.61% |
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