Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.23% ( -0.89) | 19.48% ( 0.47) | 17.29% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.91% ( -1.52) | 36.08% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.81% ( -1.69) | 58.19% ( 1.69) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.11% ( -0.66) | 10.89% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.97% ( -1.49) | 35.03% ( 1.49) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( -0.47) | 34.11% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.2% ( -0.51) | 70.8% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.23% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 17.29% |
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