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R
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 8.05pm UK
Stade de la Route de Lorient
M

Rennes
1 - 1
Marseille

Rennes win 9-8 on penalties
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Marseille

Marseille have struggled to impose themselves away from home this season, and given the number of missing key players down the spine of the team, we are tipping Rennes to come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
36.78% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 38.14% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.46% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.13800000000001 0.14)46.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (0.134 0.13)68.34% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.56% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)59.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.113 0.11)23.83% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (0.163 0.16)58.01% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 36.78%
    Marseille 38.14%
    Draw 25.08%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Guingamp 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Rennes
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Villarreal
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Thionville Lusitanos 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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