SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 7 | 21 | 19 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lorient | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montpellier HSC | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rennes | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Monaco | 7 | -2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
42.54% ( 0.24) | 25.53% ( -0.01) | 31.93% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( -0.04) | 48.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( -0.03) | 71.04% ( 0.03) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.1) | 22.9% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.14) | 56.65% ( -0.14) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.16) | 28.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.21) | 64.73% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.93% |
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