Rennes are out of the Europa League and must now focus on Ligue 1 matters if they are to secure a European berth once again, with an assignment against Marseille a real test of their top-five credentials.
Marseille have suffered a damaging week in their hunt for silverware this season and need to return to winning ways in order to close the gap on PSG, but we see them losing out at Roazhon Park on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.
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