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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia

Borja (22', 34')
Diaz (36'), Herrera (63'), Casco (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil Romero (43'), Abecasis (55')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 2-2 River Plate
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 Barracas Central
Friday, March 1 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 8.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.73%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
74.1% (-0.587 -0.59) 17.32% (0.306 0.31) 8.57% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 39.32% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.411 -0.41)47.83% (0.407 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (-0.38 -0.38)70.02% (0.376 0.38)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)11.34% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.97% (-0.594 -0.59)36.03% (0.589 0.59)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34% (0.389 0.39)55.65% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73% (0.23 0.23)88.27% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 74.09%
    Independiente Rivadavia 8.57%
    Draw 17.32%
River PlateDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
2-0 @ 14.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 13.73% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 10.85% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.91% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 74.09%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.32%
0-1 @ 3.7% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.36% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.08% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 8.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Talleres 2-2 River Plate
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Banfield
Sunday, February 18 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 River Plate
Thursday, February 15 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 Barracas Central
Friday, March 1 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 4-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, February 25 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Tuesday, February 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-2 Instituto
Friday, February 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, February 8 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Huracan
Sunday, February 4 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division


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