SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
32.63% ( -0.06) | 26.27% ( -0.1) | 41.1% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.39) | 51.86% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( 0.34) | 73.61% ( -0.33) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( 0.15) | 29.84% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.19) | 65.93% ( -0.18) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( 0.26) | 24.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( 0.35) | 59.52% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.1% |
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