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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Guillermo Laza

Deportivo Riestra
0 - 3
River Plate


Dematei (62'), Iribarren (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Borja (22'), Fernandez (35'), Herrera (40')
Herrera (31'), Fonseca (80')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Deportivo Riestra and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central
Sunday, February 4 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Deportivo RiestraDrawRiver Plate
17.26% (-3.78 -3.78) 24.2% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 58.54% (3.818 3.82)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-5.803 -5.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-4.548 -4.55)56.02% (4.547 4.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-3.827 -3.83)77.11% (3.826 3.83)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.92% (-6.956 -6.96)46.08% (6.957 6.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.22% (-5.944 -5.94)81.78% (5.944 5.94)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)18.99% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.456 -0.46)50.53% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Riestra 17.26%
    River Plate 58.53%
    Draw 24.2%
Deportivo RiestraDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-1 @ 4.36% (-1.04 -1.04)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.598 -0.6)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.481 -0.48)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 17.26%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 8.75% (1.428 1.43)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.903 -0.9)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 14.53% (2.27 2.27)
0-2 @ 12.07% (1.79 1.79)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-3 @ 6.69% (0.943 0.94)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.371 0.37)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.522 -0.52)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 58.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central
Sunday, February 4 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Thursday, January 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 River Plate
Thursday, February 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, January 28 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Pachuca
Saturday, January 20 at 9.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 River Plate
Thursday, January 18 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Instituto
Sunday, November 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division


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