SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
46.08% ( -0.52) | 27.8% ( 0.23) | 26.12% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 44.83% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.72% ( -0.62) | 60.28% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.55% ( -0.47) | 80.45% ( 0.47) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.54) | 26.18% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.72) | 61.27% ( 0.72) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.1) | 39.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( -0.1) | 75.98% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.99% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.12% |
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