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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
V

Roma
2 - 1
Venezia

Cristante (75'), Pisilli (83')
Cristante (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pohjanpalo (44')
Idzes (39'), Candela (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Venezia

Fired up by their failure to finish the job last time out, Roma should make a fast start against Venezia, who have conceded the most goals during the first 30 minutes of play in Serie A this season - at an average of one per game. The visitors do not tend to travel well and may be a little overawed on their arrival at Stadio Olimpico, where the hosts can finally post successive league wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawVenezia
60.15% (0.203 0.2) 21.08% (-0.09 -0.09) 18.77% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (0.237 0.24)41.06% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (0.24 0.24)63.46% (-0.235 -0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (0.13800000000001 0.14)13.26% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (0.273 0.27)40.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.48% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.25% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 60.15%
    Venezia 18.77%
    Draw 21.08%
RomaDrawVenezia
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 18.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Roma
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 Empoli
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Roma
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia
Sunday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brescia 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 11 at 5pm in Coppa Italia


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