Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
