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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
RL

Genoa
1 - 1
Roma

De Winter (90+6')
De Winter (70'), Gilardino (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dovbyk (37')
Pisilli (45'), De Rossi (55'), Pellegrini (64'), Shomurodov (90+1')
De Rossi (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Roma
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-1 Roma

Needing three points to boost his troops before their Europa League campaign kicks off next week, Daniele De Rossi would have hoped for a more straightforward fixture following the international break. As Roma's new boys are still settling in - and their coach seems unsure how to use them - Genoa can beat their capital counterparts again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawRoma
33.22% (-0.158 -0.16) 27.07% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 39.71% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.090999999999994 0.09)54.95% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (0.074999999999999 0.07)76.23% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)31.01% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)67.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.146 0.15)27.07% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.192 0.19)62.44% (-0.195 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 33.22%
    Roma 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
GenoaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, August 4 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Genoa
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Roma
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 Empoli
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Roma
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Olympiacos
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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