SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
30.72% ( -0.3) | 26% ( 0.16) | 43.28% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.78) | 51.37% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.69) | 73.19% ( 0.68) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.61) | 30.9% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -0.72) | 67.18% ( 0.71) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.28) | 23.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.34% ( -0.4) | 57.66% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.27% |
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