Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
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