Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.07%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rosario Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
47.19% ( 1.5) | 31.84% ( -0.81) | 20.97% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 32.02% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
26.07% ( 1.35) | 73.93% ( -1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
10.36% ( 0.78) | 89.64% ( -0.79) |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% ( 1.61) | 32.47% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31% ( 1.78) | 69% ( -1.78) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.42% ( 0.12) | 52.58% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.62% ( 0.08) | 86.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Rosario Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
1-0 @ 19.2% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.18% | 0-0 @ 17.07% ( -0.89) 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 31.83% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.97% |
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