SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Rosario Central |
55.31% ( 0.2) | 24.47% ( -0.13) | 20.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% ( 0.43) | 53.29% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% ( 0.36) | 74.84% ( -0.36) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 0.24) | 19.18% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( 0.4) | 50.85% ( -0.4) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0.17) | 41.02% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0.15) | 77.57% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.22% |
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