SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Rosario Central |
53.05% ( 0.11) | 27.6% ( 0.02) | 19.35% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 38.64% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0.16) | 64.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.42% ( -0.11) | 83.58% ( 0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.03) | 24.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.39% ( 0.04) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.24) | 48.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( -0.17) | 83.67% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.81% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.36% |
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