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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
CC

Rotherham
5 - 2
Cardiff

Hugill (25', 69'), Eaves (45+2', 57' pen.), Nombe (63')
Appiah (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Phillips (38'), Tanner (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-3 Cardiff City

Rotherham United may play with a degree of freedom given their standing and fresh start under Evans, while the visitors are without large parts of their squad due to injuries, but we still see the Bluebirds being too strong for the hosts at the weekend and fancy them to end on a high with a three-point haul in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
30.04% (1.71 1.71) 26.87% (0.373 0.37) 43.1% (-2.086 -2.09)
Both teams to score 49.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (-0.67 -0.67)55.08% (0.667 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (-0.557 -0.56)76.34% (0.554 0.55)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.94399999999999 0.94)33.3% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (1.027 1.03)69.91% (-1.031 -1.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-1.333 -1.33)25.33% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-1.864 -1.86)60.11% (1.861 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 30.04%
    Cardiff City 43.09%
    Draw 26.86%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.468 0.47)
2-1 @ 7% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.38 0.38)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Plymouth
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Millwall
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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