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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
CC

Millwall
3 - 1
Cardiff

Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Meite (24')
Collins (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff having little choice but to go for a win, this has the potential to be an entertaining game. However, that may change if Millwall score first, and we feel the visitors could have to accept a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
43.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.94% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 29.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.51% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.42% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)76.62% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)33.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)70.22% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.15%
    Cardiff City 29.9%
    Draw 26.94%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Millwall
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship


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