SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Cardiff City |
66.74% ( -2.34) | 18.71% ( 0.72) | 14.55% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( 2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.48) | 37.98% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.51) | 60.24% ( -0.51) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( -0.45) | 10.53% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( -1.02) | 34.24% ( 1.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( 2.67) | 38.67% ( -2.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.59% ( 2.44) | 75.41% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.59% Total : 66.74% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.38)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.55% |
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