SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
43.41% ( -0.44) | 26.96% ( -0.07) | 29.63% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.45) | 55.61% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( 0.36) | 76.77% ( -0.37) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.02) | 25.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.03) | 60.22% ( 0.03) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.62) | 33.88% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( 0.66) | 70.55% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.63% |
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