SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
59.63% ( -1) | 23.14% ( 0.15) | 17.23% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( 0.72) | 52.17% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( 0.62) | 73.88% ( -0.62) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.09) | 17.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -0.16) | 47.42% ( 0.17) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.17% ( 1.52) | 43.83% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.02% ( 1.23) | 79.98% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.23% |
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