Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
Result | ||
Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
37.62% ( 1.17) | 27.78% ( -0.25) | 34.6% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.52% ( 0.89) | 57.48% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.72% ( 0.7) | 78.28% ( -0.7) |
Rubin Kazan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 1.15) | 29.49% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 1.39) | 65.5% ( -1.39) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0.14) | 31.37% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( -0.17) | 67.73% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.6% |
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