SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
50.92% ( 0.03) | 24.69% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( 0.07) | 49.97% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( 0.07) | 71.95% ( -0.07) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( 0.04) | 19.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( 0.07) | 51.58% ( -0.07) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( 0.03) | 35.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( 0.03) | 71.85% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.39% |
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