SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
27.59% ( 0.13) | 25.38% ( 0.09) | 47.03% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( -0.29) | 50.43% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( -0.26) | 72.36% ( 0.26) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.06) | 32.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.06) | 69.27% ( 0.06) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.22) | 21.45% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( -0.33) | 54.47% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.59% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.03% |
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