Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
