Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.7%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.