Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
