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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 15, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Lokomotiv Stadium
ZS

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Zenit

Smolov (90' pen.)
Jedvaj (19'), Rybus (34'), Kulikov (42'), Kamano (48'), Pablo (55'), Luis (76'), Marinato (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sutormin (85' pen.)
Kuzyaev (19'), Azmoun (52')
Kuzyaev (50')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawZenit St Petersburg
29.89%23.11%47%
Both teams to score 62.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16%38.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85%61.15%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.88%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13%16.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12%46.88%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 29.89%
    Zenit St Petersburg 47%
    Draw 23.11%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawZenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 7.19%
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.89%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-1 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 5.5%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.8%
1-4 @ 2.45%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 47%

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