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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
JL

Salernitana
1 - 2
Juventus

Maggiore (39')
Gyomber (19'), Maggiore (32'), Inzaghi (41')
Maggiore (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iling (65'), Vlahovic (90+1')
Gatti (43'), McKennie (69'), Rugani (73'), Vlahovic (90+2'), Rabiot (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus

Overwhelming favourites to secure back-to-back wins over their hosts, Juventus are bound to take maximum points back to Turin on Sunday. Max Allegri's men have the bit between their teeth, and having established themselves as serious Scudetto contenders, they can now end the first half of the season with a flourish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawJuventus
16.96% (-0.239 -0.24) 21.88% (-0.283 -0.28) 61.16% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.399 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (0.786 0.79)47.56% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (0.723 0.72)69.76% (-0.72 -0.72)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (0.172 0.17)41.43% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (0.15 0.15)77.94% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.438 0.44)15.06% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43% (0.817 0.82)43.57% (-0.813 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 16.96%
    Juventus 61.16%
    Draw 21.87%
SalernitanaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.96%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.87%
0-1 @ 11.81% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.06% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.22% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.34% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.94% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.054 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 61.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Salernitana
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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