Only Ligue 1's Nice have conceded fewer goals than Inter (six) and Juventus (seven) throughout Europe's top five leagues this season, so a single strike could be enough to separate the sides on Sunday. Juve may have made up ground and are generally dominant at home to their old rivals, but the Nerazzurri are set to prevail and open up a five-point lead atop Serie A.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.11) 
