Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
35.46% ( 0.04) | 24.14% ( -0.07) | 40.39% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.71% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% ( 0.37) | 41.76% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% ( 0.37) | 64.16% ( -0.37) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.68% ( 0.19) | 23.32% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.73% ( 0.28) | 57.26% ( -0.28) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.18) | 20.83% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( 0.28) | 53.51% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.4% |
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