SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
47.15% ( 0.03) | 24.21% ( -0) | 28.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0) | 44.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( -0.01) | 67.08% ( 0.01) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( 0.01) | 19.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.01) | 50.71% ( -0.01) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.02) | 28.97% ( 0.02) |
