SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
38.83% ( 0.33) | 24.38% ( -0.13) | 36.79% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( 0.59) | 42.75% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( 0.59) | 65.15% ( -0.59) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.43) | 22.01% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( 0.64) | 55.33% ( -0.64) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.16) | 23.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( 0.24) | 56.88% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.79% |
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