SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
61.77% ( 0.01) | 21.17% ( -0.01) | 17.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( 0.05) | 44.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.05) | 66.71% ( -0.05) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.02) | 13.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( 0.04) | 41.16% ( -0.04) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 0.03) | 39.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 0.02) | 76.08% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 61.76% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.06% |
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