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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
U

Santa Fe
2 - 0
Universitario

Rodallega (27'), Moreno (78')
Rodallega (8'), Rivera (37'), Torres (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ancajima (51'), Urena (56'), Barco (84')
Cabanillas (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Santa Fe 1-1 Universitario

Of course, Santa Fe will be eager to make amends for last month's defeat in Lima, but Universitario are expected to make life difficult for Los Cardenales. With that in mind, we can see Santa Fe and Universitario sharing the spoils in Bogota, as both sides will be eager to avoid defeat as they bid to reach the knockout phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.

Result
Santa FeDrawUniversitario
51.7% (-0.105 -0.1) 27.74% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 20.56% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 39.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)63.93% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.13% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)25.14% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.12 -0.12)59.86% (0.122 0.12)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)82.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 51.69%
    Universitario 20.56%
    Draw 27.73%
Santa FeDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 16.26% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 51.69%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Gimnasia
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rionegro 1-2 Santa Fe
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santa Fe 0-0 Junior
Tuesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-2 Goias
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Universitario
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Cienciano
Friday, March 10 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores


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