SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Fe | Draw | Gimnasia |
53.14% ( 0.9) | 25.94% ( -0.4) | 20.93% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.14% ( 0.89) | 57.86% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.42% ( 0.7) | 78.58% ( -0.7) |
| Santa Fe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.76) | 21.88% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( 1.14) | 55.13% ( -1.14) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.01) | 42.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( -0.01) | 79.21% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Fe | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.93% |
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