Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
