Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.42) 
