Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Goias had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.25) 
