Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 2.25am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
We said: Santos Laguna 1-1 Pumas
After suffering a narrow defeat in their first match, Santos will be desperate to put on a good performance and earn a win in their first home match of the season.
Pumas looked sensational during their trashing of Leon last time out, but a trip to the Warriors should be a significantly sterner test.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pumas |
35.99% ( 0.08) | 24.05% ( 0) | 39.96% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0) |
| 58.78% ( -0) | 41.21% ( 0.01) |
| 36.39% ( -0) | 63.61% ( 0.01) |
| 77.22% ( 0.04) | 22.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.06) | 56.47% ( -0.06) |
| 79.2% ( -0.04) | 20.8% ( 0.04) |
